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Economic and political outline

Economic indicators | Foreign Trade in figures | Sources of general economic information | Political outline

Economic indicators

When a new government came to power in July 2004, Egypt introduced an economic reform program. Consequently, prices and taxes were lowered and simplified. The transparency of the national budget was reinforced and many privatizations were initiated. This new policy bore its fruits since within a year, growth recovered and reached 7.2% in 2008. Nevertheless, it is forecasted to be down to about 3% in 2009 and 2010. An increase in imports generated a significant deficit in the trade balance and the good performance of services does not balance a negative current balance in 2009. Moreover, these results are accompanied by a high rate of unemployment as well as a high inflation rate (11.7% in 2008 and 16.5% in 2009) that should fall to 8.6% in 2010.

 
Main indicators 20062007200820092010
GDP (billions USD) 107.38130.35162.16188.06203.85e
GDP (constant prices, annual % change) 6.87.1e7.2e3.6e3.0
GDP per capita (USD) 1,4891,772e2,1612,4572,611
Inflation rate (%) 4.211.011.7e16.58.6
Unemployment rate (% of the labor force) -8.48.6--
Current Account (billions USD) 0.871.860.89-5.69e-8.38
Current Account (in % of GDP) 0.81.40.5-3.0e-4.1

Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database

Note: (e) Estimated data

Main sectors of industry

Agriculture contributes nearly 14% of the GDP and uses about a third of the active population. Warm climate and abundant water from the Nile enable several crops in a year. The main crops are cereals, cotton and sugar cane. Oil and gas and secondary sector contribute up to 41% of the GDP. In fact the tertiary sector is significant and represents approximately 50% of the Egyptian GDP. It is largely dominated by revenue from tourism and telecommunications.

 
Breakdown of economic activity by sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment by sector (in % of total employment) 29.9 19.8 50.4
Value added (in % of GDP) 14.1 36.3 49.6
Value added (annual % change) 3.7 7.9 7.4

- last available data.

 
Monetary indicators 20022003200420052006
Egyptian Pound (EGP) - Average annual exchange rate for 1 USD 4.505.856.205.785.73

Source: World Bank - World Development Indicators

 

Indicator of economic freedom

Score:
58/100
Position:
mostly unfree
World Rank:
97 out of 179
Regional Rank:
10 out of 18

Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2009 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Country risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Ducroire.

 

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Foreign trade in figures

The Egyptian market is gradually opening up especially after signing an agreement with the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) in 2006, and a free trade treaty with the United States. Its three primary partners for export are: the European Union which represents more than a third of trade, United States (10%) and Syria (5.7%). Its three primary partners for import are: the European Union (more than 12%), United States (12%) and China (10%). Egypt mainly exports mineral fuels and oils, cotton, iron and steel. It mainly imports consumer electronic goods and capital goods, nuclear reactors and nuclear-powered boilers, cereals, food products and chemical products. Import volume has doubled. It is double the exports which contributed to the reduction of the trade balance of this country.

 
Foreign trade indicators 20032004200520062007
Imports of goods (millions USD) 13,18918,89523,81828,98439,354
Exports of goods (millions USD) 8,98712,32016,07320,54624,455
Imports of services (millions USD) 6,4748,02010,50811,56914,342
Exports of services (millions USD) 11,07314,19714,64316,13519,943
Imports of goods and services (annual % change) 1.317.223.821.828.8
Exports of goods and services (annual % change) 13.825.320.221.323.3
Imports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 24.429.632.631.634.8
Exports of goods and services (in % of GDP) 21.828.230.329.930.3
Trade Balance (millions USD) -4,201-6,576-7,745-8,438-14,900
Trade Balance (including service) (millions USD) 398-399-3,611-3,873-9,299
Foreign trade (in % of GDP) 46.257.863.061.565.1

Source: World Bank

 

Main partner countries

Main customers
(% of exports)
2008
Italy 10.5%
India 6.6%
Netherlands 5.9%
Spain 5.4%
United States 4.8%
See more countries 66.8%
Main suppliers
(% of imports)
2008
United States 10.9%
China 8.4%
Saudi Arabia 6.1%
Germany 5.9%
Italy 5.6%
See more countries 63.0%

Source: Comtrade

Main products

Main exports
(% of exports)
2008
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 44.3%
Iron and steelIron and steel 4.8%
Plastics and articles thereofPlastics and articles thereof 3.4%
Miscellaneous chemical productsMiscellaneous chemical products 3.1%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 3.1%
See more products 41.3%
Main imports
(% of imports)
2008
Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and...Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof 11.4%
Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their...Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes 11.4%
Iron and steelIron and steel 9.5%
Electrical machinery and equipment and parts...Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles 6.0%
CerealsCereals 5.8%
See more products 55.9%

Source: Comtrade

 
See more products
More imports (Intracen Data)
More exports (Intracen Data)

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Sources of general economic information

Ministries
Ministry of Finance
Ministry of Investment
Ministry of Trade and Industry 
Statistical Office
Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics.
Central Bank
Central Bank
Stock Exchange
Cairo and Alexandria Stock Exchange
Search Engines
Egypt Search
EgyptSites.com
Egyptoo.com
Economic portals
Zawya: website containing economic information on the Middle East.
Alibaba: Economic portal on the Middle East.

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Political outline

Executive Power
The president is the head of state. He is elected by universal suffrage for a 6-year term of office (no limit for extension). He appoints the Prime Minister who must be approved by a confidence vote in the parliament. The President also appoints the head of the Council of Ministers. He can dissolve the Assembly and rule by decree. He holds almost total power.
Legislative Power
The legislative power is bicameral. The Parliament is formed by the People's Assembly (the lower house) which has 454 members (of which 444 are elected by universal suffrage and 10 are nominated by the President for a 5-year term) and the Advisory Council (the upper house) which plays only an advisory role and which has 264 members (of which 176 are elected by universal suffrage and 88 appointed by the president for a 6-year term). The president can dissolve the People's Assembly only if he has the support of the people during a referendum.
Main political parties
The multi-party system was restored in 1976 by the then president Sadate. However, in practice it is the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP) which completely dominates the political arena. The Muslim brothers, a brotherhood created in 1928 by Hassan El Banna is the main opposition party of the country. They were banned but in spite of it, they were able to win 88 seats in the People's Assembly in the 2005 elections. The other opposition parties like Wafd, El-Ghad or the Nasserian Party are minority parties and were nearly wiped out in the 2005 elections.
Current political leaders
President: Mohammed Hosni Mubarak (since October 1981, re-elected for a fifth term of six years in the country's first multi-candidate elections in September 2005) – NDP
Prime Minister: Ahmed Nazif (since December 2005) – NDP
Next election dates
Presidential: in 2011
People's Assembly: November-December 2010
Advisory Council: in 2013
 

Indicator of freedom of the press

World Rank:
146/173
Evolution:
Same rank in relation to 2007

Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2008, Reporters Without Borders

 

Indicator of political freedom

Ranking:
Not Free
Political freedom:
6/7
Civil liberties:
6/7

Map of freedom 2007
Source: Freedom House

 

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Last updates: October 2009