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flag Iran Iran: Economic and Political Outline

Economic Indicators | Foreign Trade in Figures | Sources of General Economic Information | Political Outline

Economic Indicators

The Iranian economy is largely dominated by the public sector which controls nearly 80% of it. The private sector is therefore relatively limited. The economy is very dependent on the oil income which represents nearly 80% of exports and 60% of its revenues. In this context, an increase or a decrease in oil prices can have a great influence in the state's revenues. In order to diversify its economy and become less dependent of its oil sector, the government has decided to privatize and open to foreign investment most of the sectors of its economy. However, the progress on this issue has been slow. On one side, it still exists a real political resistance to a genuine privatization, while on the other, the current environment (international tensions due to nuclear power, interventionism of the State) creates hesitation among the private and foreign investors in taking risks. Nevertheless, reforms are essential. The public sector does not have resources to create the jobs required to reduce the unemployment rate which is estimated at nearly 15% of the active population (30% among the youth). The other major problem in the country is inflation which increases the prices of consuming goods, and this creates social problems and fears of public riots.

Iran was isolated from the international scene due to the United States' embargo. The country was not affected directly by the financial crisis of 2008-2009. It has, however, undergone through a reduction in oil prices which has caused a contraction of the country's income. In 2009, The Islamic Republic of Iran has also been affected by the greatest political crisis since the accession to the revolution in 1979 because of the general protest linked to the re-election of president Ahmadinejad, which provoked a flood of demonstrations followed by a strong repression. All these events, have considerably ruined the charm of the country in terms of foreign investment.

Domestic tensions in the core of the country's power might mark 2011 and could have an impact on the the economic situation of the country.  The actual economic situation is very bad with very few positive perspectives for 2011.  Inflation is climbing up and unemployment continues to increase, these facts are provoking the active forces of the country and notably, the young citizens, to leave Iran.

 
Main Indicators 2009201020112012 (e)2013 (e)
GDP (billions USD) 362.57407.38e475.05e494.49523.53
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) 3.53.2e2.53.43.8
GDP per Capita (USD) 4,9235,449e6,260e6,4196,696
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) 8.911.6e9.2e8.07.1
Inflation Rate (%) 10.812.422.512.510.0
Unemployment Rate (% of the Labor Force) 11.414.615.315.615.7
Current Account (billions USD) 10.9124.4136.8835.2234.96
Current Account (in % of GDP) 3.0e6.0e7.8e6.7-

Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database ; World Bank , Last Available Data

Note: (e) Estimated Data

Main Sectors of Industry

Agriculture contributes nearly 10% to the GDP but employs one-third of the active population. Only 10% of the land is arable and primitive farming methods are still used. The main crops are pistachios (world largest producer), wheat, rice, oranges, tea, and cotton. Illicit cultivation of the opium poppy is fairly common. Iran is rich in mineral resources, mainly: oil (4th largest producer in the world), and gas (2nd place in reserves in the world), copper, lead, zinc, etc.
Oil production represents 10% of the GDP. Industrial and mining sectors contribute nearly 26% to the GDP. The textile industry is the second most important after the oil sector. Other major industries are sugar refining, food-processing, petro-chemicals, cement, and construction. Traditional handicrafts such as carpet weaving and the manufacture of ceramics, silk, and jewelry are also important to the economy.
The services sector contributes to nearly half of the GDP.

 
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) 21.2 32.2 46.5
Value Added (in % of GDP) 10.2 44.5 45.3
Value Added (Annual % Change) 6.2 7.9 6.4

Source: World Bank - Last Available Data.

 
 
Monetary Indicators 20062007200820092010
Iran Rial (IRR) - Average Annual Exchange Rate For 1 USD 9,170.949,281.159,428.539,864.3010,254.18

Source: World Bank - Last Available Data.

 
 
Learn more about Market Analysis about Iran on Globaltrade.net, the Directory for International Trade Services.
 

Indicator of Economic Freedom

Score:
42.1/100
Position:
Controlled
World Rank:
163/179
Regional Rank:
16/17

Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2011 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation

 

Country Risk

See the Country Risk Analysis Provided By Ducroire.

 

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Foreign Trade in Figures

Iran is a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The share of foreign trade (exports + imports) in the country's GDP is nearly 50%, with oil accounting for 80% of the exports income. The top three export partners of Iran are: Japan, China and the European Union. Besides oil, Iran mainly exports pistachio nuts, carpets, petro-chemical products, organic chemicals, aluminum, and plastic materials. Its top three import partners are: the United Arab Emirates (which plays the role of re-exporting center), Germany and France. The main goods imported are: machinery, iron & steel, electric & electronic equipment and cereals.

The Iranian population is young and foreign consumption goods are in high demand, which could offer a dynamic market for imports into the country.  It is important to mention that a large part of these foreign products are smuggled into the country through Dubai.

 
Foreign Trade Indicators 20062007200820092010
Imports of Goods (million USD) 40,77244,94257,40150,46962,670
Exports of Goods (million USD) 77,01288,733113,66878,830100,900
Imports of Services (million USD) 11,40714,76017,24017,380-
Exports of Services (million USD) 5,5446,7917,8637,470-
Imports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) 7.14.9---
Exports of Goods and Services (Annual % Change) 5.12.8---
Imports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) 24.421.5---
Exports of Goods and Services (in % of GDP) 32.532.2---
Foreign Trade (in % of GDP) 56.953.7---

Source: WTO - World Trade Organization ; World Bank , Last Available Data

 

Main Partner Countries

Main Customers
(% of Exports)
2010
Iraq 5.5%
China 5.3%
United Arab Emirates 4.2%
India 2.0%
Afghanistan 1.6%
See More Countries 81.5%
Main Suppliers
(% of Imports)
2010
United Arab Emirates 28.6%
China 10.4%
Germany 8.2%
South Korea 6.7%
Turkey 4.2%
See More Countries 41.8%

Source: Comtrade, Last Available Data

 

Main Products

Main Exports
(% of Exports)
2010
Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous...Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude 55.7%
Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous...Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (excl. crude); preparations containing >= 70% by weight of petroleum oils or of oils obtained from bituminous minerals, these oils being the basic constituents of the preparations, n.e.s.; waste oils containing mainly petroleum or bituminous minerals 10.1%
Petroleum gas and other gaseous hydrocarbonsPetroleum gas and other gaseous hydrocarbons 3.8%
Polymers of ethylene, in primary formsPolymers of ethylene, in primary forms 2.2%
Acyclic alcohols and their halogenated,...Acyclic alcohols and their halogenated, sulphonated, nitrated or nitrosated derivatives 1.5%
See More Products 26.7%
Main Imports
(% of Imports)
2010
Iron and non-alloy steel in ingots or other...Iron and non-alloy steel in ingots or other primary forms (excl. remelting scrap ingots, products obtained by continuous casting and iron of heading 7203) 4.5%
Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel,...Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel, of a width >= 600 mm, hot-rolled, not clad, plated or coated 3.6%
Turbo-jets, turbo-propellers and other gas...Turbo-jets, turbo-propellers and other gas turbines 2.2%
Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous...Petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (excl. crude); preparations containing >= 70% by weight of petroleum oils or of oils obtained from bituminous minerals, these oils being the basic constituents of the preparations, n.e.s.; waste oils containing mainly petroleum or bituminous minerals 1.9%
Medicaments consisting of mixed or unmixed...Medicaments consisting of mixed or unmixed products for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, put up in measured doses "incl. those in the form of transdermal administration" or in forms or packings for retail sale (excl. goods of heading 3002, 3005 or 3006) 1.7%
See More Products 86.1%

Source: Comtrade, Last Available Data

 
See More Products
More imports (Intracen Data)
More exports (Intracen Data)
 

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Sources of General Economic Information

Ministries
Central bank (markazi)
Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs
Statistical Office
Statistics Center of Iran
Central Bank
Central Bank of Iran
Stock Exchange
Teheran Stock Exchange
Search Engines
Iran Mania
Iran Internet Pages
Economic Portals
Pars Times

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Political Outline

Executive Power
The chief of state is the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution appointed for life time by the Assembly of Experts. The Supreme Leader is Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, controls the military intelligence and security operations, and has sole power to declare war. The head of the government is the President who is elected by popular vote for a four year term. The Council of Ministers (cabinet) is selected by the President with legislative approval. The President enjoys executive powers, except for matters directly related to the Supreme Leader.
Legislative Power
The legislature is unicameral. The parliament consists of Islamic Consultative Assembly having 290 seats with its members elected by popular vote to serve four-year terms. The Parliament must get the laws validated by the Guardian Council which checks if the laws suggested do not go against Islamic principles. The Parliament has real powers in Iran. It can in particular decide dismissal of a minister. The President cannot dissolve the parliament directly but can recommend the same to Supreme Leader.
Main Political Parties
Political pressure groups conduct most of Iran's political activities. It is quite difficult to get a clear view on Iranian political parties; however the major Political Parties are as follows:
- Islamic Society of Engineers - supports acquiring scientific & technical knowledge by Iran, opposes Western culture & values, supports Islamic values;
- Executives of Construction Party - supporters of ex-President Rafsanjani and his policies;
- Islamic Iran Participation Front - a reformist political party, supports democracy;
- Militant Clergy Association - moderate conservative clerical party.
Current Political Leaders
Supreme Leader: Ayatollah Ali Hoseini-KHAMENEI (since June 1989) - non-partisan
President: Mahmud AHMADI-NEJAD (since August 2005- re-elected in June 2009) - Islamic Society of Engineers
Next Election Dates
Presidential election: June 2013
Islamic Consultative Assembly: 2012
 

Indicator of Freedom of the Press

World Rank:
175/178
Evolution:
3 places down compared to 2009

Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2010, Reporters Without Borders

 

Indicator of Political Freedom

Ranking:
Not Free
Political Freedom:
6/7
Civil Liberties:
6/7

Map of freedom 2010
Source: Freedom House

 

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Last Updates: January 2012